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2024-12-13 05:49:35

Far more than expected, the bull market is slower.Secondly, the change from "prudent" to "moderately loose" in previous years is a major change in the caliber of monetary policy. Moderate easing was last proposed in 2010, and our caliber in the past 14 years has been consistent and steady. No matter how radical the interest rate cuts and RRR cuts are, no matter how loose they look from the behavior, they just don't let go. This is the first change in 14 years, with emphasis on the first time.In my opinion, if the meeting on the next 11-12 days falls short of expectations (in fact, it is enough), it will falsely pull down the index, then generally fall, fall to around 3330, and then draw 3350, and at the end of the month, it will reach around 3230 on the May line;


On the contrary, if it is good, once it breaks through the resistance range of 3440-3490, large funds will rush to escape as at the end of September and quickly attack 3500-3700.This is beyond my expectation. Although I maintain the view that A shares are entering a bull market, my friends who have been watching it know that I am pessimistic.And this passage also added the word "extraordinary countercyclical adjustment", which appeared for the first time in history! Note that this is also the first time, and supernormal means exceeding expectations!


If you don't have stocks in your hand, don't worry in the morning, just wait for the new cycle to start, confirm the resonance theme, and get on the bus in various postures. In this emotional fragile stage, the most taboo is to follow the trend and go up to the top, regardless of whether it is up or down, we must maintain our own judgment, do not follow suit, make a good plan, and then implement it. Remember one thing, no market will end in a day or two.In my opinion, in terms of capacity, today's science and technology innovation board is not as good as Beijing Jiao Tong 50, but in the long run, it may not be.Far beyond expectations, there are no special figures, only a persistent and tough attitude. The three words in this paragraph attracted me.

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